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Apple’s India Manufacturing Push Faces Uncertainty Amid Potential US-China Trade Deal

Apple’s ongoing shift of iPhone production to India has been viewed as a strategic win for the country’s manufacturing ambitions. However, recent developments surrounding a possible US-China trade agreement—which could lower tariffs on Chinese electronics—may pose new challenges to India’s aspirations of becoming a global electronics hub.

According to reports, the potential easing of trade tensions between the US and China could make Chinese manufacturing more cost-comp

etitive again, undermining the advantages India has begun to offer Apple and other global tech giants.

India’s Growing Role in Apple’s Supply Chain

In recent years, Apple has significantly expanded its footprint in India, with major suppliers like Foxconn, Pegatron, and Wistron ramping up local assembly operations. India now accounts for nearly 7% of global iPhone production, a figure expected to rise steadily as part of Apple's strategy to diversify its supply chain away from China.

This shift aligns with the Indian government’s Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes, which incentivize high-value electronics manufacturing and aim to position India as a resilient and scalable alternative to China.

The US-China Factor: A Shifting Geopolitical Equation

However, if the US and China finalize a deal to reduce tariffs on electronics and tech components, it could restore some of China’s lost cost advantages. This might tempt Apple and other manufacturers to maintain or even revive portions of their Chinese operations, rather than aggressively expanding elsewhere.

Such a scenario could delay or dilute investments into Indian manufacturing, potentially affecting job creation, export targets, and the overall momentum of the “Make in India” initiative.

Implications for India’s Manufacturing Vision

India's push to become a global electronics manufacturing powerhouse is at a critical juncture. While geopolitical diversification has played in its favor so far, future policy shifts among global powers could alter the trajectory.

To stay competitive, India may need to double down on:

  • Policy stability
  • Ease of doing business
  • Supply chain localization
  • Infrastructure upgrades
  • Talent development

By creating a long-term, cost-efficient, and innovation-friendly environment, India can mitigate risks from global realignments and retain its appeal as a preferred manufacturing destination.

Conclusion

Apple’s India plans remain a powerful symbol of the country’s industrial ambitions. Yet, global trade dynamics—especially those involving the US and China—underscore the fragile and interconnected nature of supply chains today. India must remain agile, proactive, and visionary to secure its place in the future of global electronics manufacturing.

 

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